MLB Recap · June 13, 2023

Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

CWS1
Final
LAD5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS000000001131
LAD40000100-581

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers handled the Chicago White Sox with relative ease on June 13, 2023, at Dodger Stadium, winning 5-1 behind a dominant pitching performance and an explosive first inning that effectively decided the contest. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring the home side at 67% and finished at 100%, reflecting just how thoroughly Los Angeles controlled the afternoon. The decisive damage came in the bottom of the first, where Will Smith's home run off Lance Lynn carried a win-probability swing of plus 4.0% and David Peralta followed with another home run off Lynn adding another plus 3.4%, setting the tone before Chicago could establish any foothold. A Miguel Vargas groundout in that same frame contributed a plus 4.1% swing, illustrating how thoroughly the Dodgers' early plate appearances kept pressure on Lynn and shifted the game's probability arc sharply toward Los Angeles.

Tony Gonsolin was the central figure in preserving that lead, accumulating plus 17.5% in win probability added to lead all pitchers on the night. He kept the White Sox offense quiet across his outing, holding Chicago to a three-hit ballgame that produced just one run in the ninth inning long after the outcome was settled. Caleb Ferguson and Brusdar Graterol added plus 1.4% and plus 0.6% respectively, with the bullpen rendering the contest a formality. The most damaging moment for Chicago came in the second inning, when Gavin Sheets' pop out off Gonsolin represented a minus 5.8% swing in win probability, extinguishing whatever slim hope the White Sox carried into that frame. On the offensive side, Miguel Vargas and Freddie Freeman led Los Angeles by WPA at plus 5.1% and plus 4.1%, while Andrew Vaughn's plus 5.0% stood as the lone bright mark in an otherwise bleak offensive night for Chicago.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalLAD win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 67.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Gavin Sheets Pop Out
Top 2nd · off Tony Gonsolin
-5.8%
Miguel Vargas Groundout
Bot 1st · off Lance Lynn
+4.1%
Will Smith Home Run
Bot 1st · off Lance Lynn
+4.0%
Freddie Freeman Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Lance Lynn
+3.9%
David Peralta Home Run
Bot 1st · off Lance Lynn
+3.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Miguel Vargas+5.1%-0.7 RE24
Andrew Vaughn+5.0%+0.5 RE24
Freddie Freeman+4.1%-0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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