Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| PHI | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - | 7 | 13 | 0 |
The Story
The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 7-3 at Citizens Bank Park on June 11, 2023, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win from 47% before first pitch to a final 100%. Philadelphia scored in four separate innings, building its lead incrementally before the Dodgers mounted a brief challenge in the middle frames. Taijuan Walker was the game's most impactful performer on either side, generating a model-leading +23.6% WPA for the Phillies, anchoring Philadelphia's effort on the mound throughout his time in the game.
The decisive moment came earlier than the final linescore might suggest. In the bottom of the third, Bryson Stott singled off Adam Kolarek in a plate appearance that shifted win probability by +15.2%, the single largest swing of the game and the foundation of a two-run inning that gave Philadelphia a lead it would not relinquish. Stott finished as the game's top offensive performer at +20.0% WPA and +2.0 RE24. The Dodgers made their most credible push in the sixth inning, when Freddie Freeman hit a home run off Gregory Soto to account for a +9.4% swing, and Los Angeles added single runs in the seventh and eighth. But Nick Castellanos countered in the bottom of the seventh with a home run off Nick Robertson worth +9.8%, and the Phillies responded with three runs in that frame to extend their lead to a comfortable margin. A Will Smith walk off José Alvarado in the top of the eighth generated a +9.0% swing for Los Angeles, though the threat ultimately went unfinished.
Jason Heyward homered off Seranthony Domínguez in the top of the seventh for a +7.9% swing, accounting for one of the Dodgers' three runs, while Trea Turner contributed +6.7% WPA and +0.9 RE24 among the visiting lineup. Will Smith finished at +8.1% WPA and +1.3 RE24 despite the Dodgers' loss. Philadelphia's bullpen contributions from Yency Almonte and Craig Kimbrel, at +2.2% and +0.7% WPA respectively, helped close out a 13-hit performance for the Phillies, who needed no errors from either side to earn the four-run victory.