Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees defeated the Boston Red Sox 3-1 on June 10, 2023, at Yankee Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 62% pre-game home win probability all the way to 100% by the final out. The Yankees built their lead through a pair of home runs off Red Sox starter Tanner Houck, with Gleyber Torres connecting in the bottom of the fourth for a swing worth plus 11.4% in win probability, and Willie Calhoun following in the bottom of the sixth with a solo shot that added another 15.2%. Boston briefly cut into the deficit when Rafael Devers answered with a home run off Domingo Germán in the top of the sixth, a swing worth plus 13.6% for the Red Sox, but New York responded almost immediately with Calhoun's blast to effectively neutralize that momentum.

Kyle Higashioka proved to be the most impactful Yankee bat on the night, leading all position players with a WPA of plus 11.1% and an RE24 of plus 0.9, his single off Josh Winckowski in the bottom of the seventh adding further cushion and registering as the fourth-largest win-probability swing of the game at plus 11.2%. Willie Calhoun finished second among batters with a WPA of plus 10.4%, and Adam Duvall contributed a plus 8.3% WPA showing. On the mound, Domingo Germán led New York's pitching staff with a plus 9.7% WPA, supported by Wandy Peralta at plus 8.5% and Tommy Kahnle at plus 8.1%. Boston finished with seven hits but was held to a single run, and an Anthony Volpe groundout into a double play in the bottom of the fifth, costing New York 8.6% in win probability, stood as the one notable hiccup in an otherwise controlled Yankees victory. The final line read 3-1 New York, with each team committing one error.