MLB Recap · June 10, 2023

Arizona Diamondbacks at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

AZ5
Final
DET0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
AZ020030000570
DET000000000060

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks shut out the Detroit Tigers 5-0 at Comerica Park on June 10, 2023, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Detroit win falling from 35% before first pitch all the way to 0% by the final out. Arizona did its damage in two concentrated bursts, leaving the Tigers with no path back into the game after the fifth inning.

Nick Ahmed started the scoring in the second with a home run off Matthew Boyd that swung win probability 9.3 points in Arizona's favor. That lead held through the fourth before the Diamondbacks broke the game open in the fifth, when Lourdes Gurriel Jr. connected on a home run off Boyd for the single largest win-probability swing of the night at plus 20.6 points. A Gabriel Moreno double in that same inning added another 5.3 points, and the three-run fifth pushed the Arizona advantage to 5-0. Gurriel Jr. had offset an early groundout that cost his team 4.9 points of win probability, but his fifth-inning blast more than erased that deficit, leaving him as the game's top offensive performer at plus 14.4 WPA and plus 2.3 RE24. Ahmed finished at plus 8.2 WPA and plus 1.6 RE24, with Moreno contributing plus 5.8 WPA.

On the mound, Ryne Nelson was the story for Arizona, posting plus 14.2 WPA in a dominant outing against a Detroit lineup that managed six hits but never threatened to score. Austin Adams added plus 6.5 WPA in relief, and Zack Short's flyout against Adams in the sixth — a minus 4.9 WPA moment for Detroit — underscored how thoroughly the Tigers' offensive opportunities were snuffed out. Mason Englert rounded out the bullpen contribution at plus 0.6 WPA as Arizona completed the shutout without an error.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025AZ bats firstFinalDET win %AZ win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 35.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Home Run
Top 5th · off Matthew Boyd
+20.6%
Nick Ahmed Home Run
Top 2nd · off Matthew Boyd
+9.3%
Gabriel Moreno Double
Top 5th · off Matthew Boyd
+5.3%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Groundout
Top 1st · off Matthew Boyd
-4.9%
Zack Short Flyout
Bot 6th · off Austin Adams
-4.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.+14.4%+2.3 RE24
Nick Ahmed+8.2%+1.6 RE24
Gabriel Moreno+5.8%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →