Miami Marlins at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox walked off the Miami Marlins 2-1 on June 9, 2023, at Guaranteed Rate Field, completing a comeback that began with a deficit and ended with a Luis Robert Jr. single in the bottom of the ninth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the White Sox only a 44% chance of winning at home, and that estimate climbed to 100% by the final out.

Miami drew first blood in the top of the fifth when Joey Wendle connected on a home run off Dylan Cease, a swing that shifted win probability 12.3 points in the Marlins' favor and represented the loudest moment of what was otherwise a quiet offensive afternoon for the visitors. Chicago answered with a run in the bottom of the second to tie things and then spent the middle innings manufacturing very little despite out-hitting Miami 11 to 4 on the night. The sixth inning offered a glimpse of a potential Marlins rally — Bryan De La Cruz doubled off Cease for a 10.9-point swing — but a Jesús Sánchez fielders choice wiped away the threat, costing Miami 11.3 points of win probability and keeping the game level. An Andrew Vaughn double-play grounder in the bottom of the seventh was similarly damaging for the home side, draining 13.8 points of probability from a White Sox offense that appeared to be running out of chances.

It was Robert who erased all of that with one swing of the bat in the ninth, depositing a single off Dylan Floro into the outfield for a walk-off that added 28.4 points of win probability in a single moment and finished as the highest-impact play of the game by a wide margin. Robert led all position players with a 26.1% WPA, while Elvis Andrus contributed a quiet but meaningful 9.5% on the offensive side. On the mound, Dylan Cease was the central figure, posting a 20.2% WPA despite surrendering Wendle's go-ahead homer, and Liam Hendriks added 13.5% in relief as Chicago's pitching staff ultimately held Miami to a single run on four hits against the backdrop of two costly Marlins errors.