MLB Recap · June 8, 2023

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap

LAD6
Final
CIN0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD0033000006120
CIN000000000060

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the Cincinnati Reds 6-0 on June 8, 2023, at Great American Ball Park, erasing the DiamondIQ model's pre-game 43% home win probability down to 0% by the final out. The game turned decisively in the third inning, when the Dodgers broke through against Graham Ashcraft with a burst that began with David Peralta's single, the single most consequential offensive play of the night at +15.2% win probability added. Freddie Freeman followed with his own single for an additional +8.0% swing, and James Outman contributed to the rally after being hit by a pitch for +3.9%. Los Angeles would score three times that inning, effectively seizing control of the contest before Cincinnati's offense could find any footing.

The Dodgers extended their lead in the fourth against Fernando Cruz, with Chris Taylor's home run adding +7.0% to Los Angeles' win probability and Austin Barnes following with a double that pushed the advantage further at +5.6%. Those two innings combined accounted for all six Dodgers runs and rendered the remainder of the game a formality. On the offensive ledger, Peralta finished as the game's top performer by WPA at +17.3% with a RE24 of +2.6, while Freeman added +8.1% and +1.2 RE24, and Outman contributed +4.8% and +0.9 RE24. Clayton Kershaw anchored the pitching staff with a game-leading +11.1% WPA, keeping Cincinnati's lineup to six hits across nine innings without allowing a single run to cross the plate.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalCIN win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 42.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

David Peralta Single
Top 3rd · off Graham Ashcraft
+15.2%
Freddie Freeman Single
Top 3rd · off Graham Ashcraft
+8.0%
Chris Taylor Home Run
Top 4th · off Fernando Cruz
+7.0%
Austin Barnes Double
Top 4th · off Fernando Cruz
+5.6%
James Outman Hit By Pitch
Top 3rd · off Graham Ashcraft
+3.9%

Top Batters by WPA

David Peralta+17.3%+2.6 RE24
Freddie Freeman+8.1%+1.2 RE24
James Outman+4.8%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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