Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap

The Cincinnati Reds defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 8-6 on June 7, 2023, at Great American Ball Park, rallying from an early deficit to secure the win in dramatic fashion. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with the Reds holding a 44 percent pre-game win probability, a figure that fluctuated wildly through a high-scoring first three innings before the bullpens locked things down and Cincinnati's relievers ultimately slammed the door shut.

The game's decisive moments were concentrated early and late. In the bottom of the third, Tyler Stephenson delivered a home run off Noah Syndergaard that swung win probability by 18.7 percent in Cincinnati's favor, a blow that came directly after Will Smith had countered with a solo shot off Brandon Williamson in the top half that shifted momentum toward Los Angeles by 12.4 percent. The Reds used a four-run third inning to build a lead they would not relinquish, but the game remained within reach for the Dodgers entering the ninth. That is when Will Benson settled the matter emphatically, connecting for a home run off Evan Phillips that moved Cincinnati's win probability by 28.4 percent and pushed the final to 8-6, completing the model's journey from 44 percent to 100 percent in Cincinnati's favor.

Benson finished as the game's most impactful offensive performer, posting a WPA of plus-25.2 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.0, while Stephenson contributed plus-14.8 percent WPA and led all batters with a plus-1.3 RE24. On the mound, the Cincinnati bullpen was the story: Alexis Díaz, Nick Robertson, and Buck Farmer combined for WPA figures of plus-13.5, plus-13.3, and plus-11.7 percent respectively, holding the Dodgers scoreless from the fourth inning onward and preserving what the offense had built through the turbulent opening frames.