Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Chicago Cubs 6-2 on June 7, 2023, at Angel Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate opening at a 63 percent home win probability and closing at 100 percent as the Angels pulled away convincingly. The game was scoreless through three innings before Mike Trout broke it open in the bottom of the fourth with a home run off Jameson Taillon, a swing worth 11.4 percent in win probability. The Cubs answered briefly in the top of the fifth when Miguel Amaya singled off Jaime Barria, a hit that registered as the game's third-largest win-probability swing at plus 16.1 percent, briefly tightening the contest. Los Angeles responded immediately in the bottom half, as Luis Rengifo connected on a home run off Taillon that added 13.1 percent to the Angels' win probability and effectively reclaimed control.

The decisive moment arrived in the bottom of the sixth, when the Angels posted four runs to put the game beyond reach. Mickey Moniak's double off Mark Leiter Jr. was the single biggest play of the night at plus 24.2 percent win probability, and Rengifo followed later in the inning with a single off Leiter that added another 11.9 percent. Rengifo finished as the top positional contributor by WPA at plus 22.6 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.3, while Moniak matched him nearly exactly at plus 22.5 percent and posted the game's best RE24 among batters at plus 2.8. Amaya led Chicago's offense in win-probability terms but his plus 16.1 percent effort was not enough to overcome the Angels' surge. On the mound, Ben Joyce led Los Angeles relievers at plus 7.1 percent WPA, with Aaron Loup and Sam Bachman contributing plus 2.9 and plus 2.6 percent respectively as the Angels finished with eight hits and no errors.