Baltimore Orioles at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers walked off the Baltimore Orioles 4-3 in ten innings on June 6, 2023, at American Family Field, completing a comeback that saw the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win climb from 46 percent before first pitch to 100 percent by the game's final out. Milwaukee trailed after Ryan O'Hearn gave Baltimore a 3-2 lead with a seventh-inning home run off Joel Payamps, a swing that shifted win probability 16.5 points in Baltimore's favor. The Brewers answered in the bottom of the eighth when Brice Turang singled off Yennier Cano to tie the game, a hit worth 21.4 points of win probability. From there the game moved to extra innings, where Félix Bautista and Peter Strzelecki each stranded the go-ahead run — Brian Anderson's strikeout in the ninth added 14.0 points for Milwaukee, and Josh Lester's strikeout in the tenth added another 11.1 — before Joey Wiemer ended it with a walk-off single off Austin Voth in the bottom of the tenth, the single largest swing of the night at 42.9 points.

Turang led all batters with a WPA of plus-30.1 and a RE24 of plus-0.9, his eighth-inning single proving instrumental beyond the walk-off moment. Wiemer posted a WPA of plus-25.0 despite a RE24 of minus-0.3, his contribution concentrated entirely in that decisive final at-bat. On the mound, Freddy Peralta led Milwaukee's pitching staff with a WPA of plus-14.6, followed by Devin Williams at plus-13.5 and Mike Baumann at plus-11.8, with each arm helping hold Baltimore in check through the middle and late innings. Both teams finished with eight hits and no errors, making the difference a matter of sequencing and leverage rather than any lopsided offensive output.