Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | 7 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Chicago Cubs 7-4 on June 6, 2023, at Angel Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model entering the game giving the home side a 62% win probability and finishing at 100% as the Angels pulled away for a comfortable victory. The Angels did their damage in concentrated bursts, plating one run in the fourth and erupting for five in the fifth, while the Cubs managed their four runs entirely in the second inning before going quiet the rest of the way.
The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the fifth, where Mike Trout's single off Brandon Hughes shifted win probability by 20.2 percentage points, and Matt Thaiss followed with a single of his own off Hughes that added another 19.7 points, the two hits forming the core of that five-run frame. On the Cubs' side, the most damaging moment was Yan Gomes grounding into a double play in the seventh off Chris Devenski, a play that swung win probability 23.2 points against Chicago and effectively closed the door on any comeback. Dansby Swanson's pop out in the second inning, which registered a 10.6-point swing in Chicago's favor given the situation, illustrated how quickly the Cubs' early threat faded.
By the DiamondIQ model's accounting, Trout finished as the game's top offensive contributor at plus-18.9% WPA and plus-2.1 RE24, while Thaiss added plus-15.9% WPA. Swanson led Cubs batters at plus-11.6% WPA despite posting a negative RE24 of minus-0.5, reflecting situational context working against Chicago throughout. On the mound, Chris Devenski was the standout performer of the night, leading all pitchers with plus-27.7% WPA, with Hayden Wesneski contributing plus-8.2% for the Cubs and José Soriano adding plus-6.4% for the Angels.