Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies routed the Washington Nationals 11-3 at Nationals Park on June 4, 2023, a result that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Washington win at 0% after opening at 51% in favor of the home side. Philadelphia did its damage in waves, plating a run in the second, another in the fifth, three in the sixth, three more in the seventh, and a final three in the ninth, while the Nationals managed only a single run in the fourth and two in the ninth.

The single most consequential swing of the game came in the top of the sixth, when Kyle Schwarber connected for a home run off Andrés Machado that shifted win probability by plus 29.1 percentage points in Philadelphia's favor. That blow effectively closed the door on any Washington comeback. The game's second-largest batting play arrived an inning earlier, when Drew Ellis went deep against Trevor Williams for a plus 12.3 percentage point swing. Washington's best moment came in the bottom of the fourth, when Joey Meneses stroked a triple off Ranger Suarez to nudge the Nationals' chances upward by 10.3 percentage points, but Riley Adams followed with a flyout that erased 6.6 points of that gain, and Meneses himself grounded out in the fifth for an additional minus 5.2 points, stalling both rallies.

Among position players, Schwarber finished as the top performer by WPA at plus 23.4 percent with a RE24 of plus 4.4, while Ellis was close behind at plus 18.9 percent and a RE24 of plus 3.8. J.T. Realmuto contributed plus 5.2 percent. On the pitching side, Ranger Suarez was the story, posting a plus 18.1 percent WPA by limiting Washington's threats despite the Meneses triple, with Trevor Williams adding plus 1.8 percent in his own right. Philadelphia finished with 14 hits and committed no errors, while Washington's lone error contributed to a tidy summary of the evening's one-sided affair.