Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox walked off the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in ten innings on June 3, 2023, at Guaranteed Rate Field, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 49 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by game's end. The contest was a tightly wound pitching duel through nine innings, with Chicago scratching across its first run in the bottom of the fourth and Detroit answering with a lone tally in the top of the sixth on a Zach McKinstry triple off Dylan Cease that shifted win probability 11.8 points in the Tigers' favor. From that point the game remained deadlocked heading into extras.

The decisive sequence unfolded entirely in the bottom of the tenth, where José Cisnero surrendered the game's most consequential moment: a wild pitch that scored the winning run and registered a 33.4-point swing in win probability for Chicago. The frame was not without tension — Yasmani Grandal's groundout had pushed win probability 19.5 points back toward Detroit — but Romy Gonzalez offset that setback with a sacrifice bunt that reclaimed exactly that 19.5-point swing and kept the rally alive for the wild pitch to finish matters. In the top of the tenth, Jake Marisnick's groundout against Reynaldo López, while seemingly a negative outcome, generated an 11.1-point win-probability swing for Detroit by limiting damage, though it ultimately proved insufficient.

Among the standout performers by the DiamondIQ model's metrics, Tim Anderson led all position players with a plus-20.9 win-probability contribution and a 0.4 RE24 figure, while Gonzalez added plus-19.5 and Yoán Moncada contributed plus-15.8. On the mound, Michael Lorenzen paced all pitchers with a plus-23.3 win-probability figure, followed by Kendall Graveman at plus-13.5 and Cease at plus-12.4, underscoring how dominant the White Sox pitching staff was across the night's ten innings of work.