MLB Recap · June 2, 2023

Oakland Athletics at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

OAK0
Final
MIA4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK000000000050
MIA20002000-491

The Story

The Miami Marlins shut out the Oakland Athletics 4-0 on June 2, 2023, at loanDepot park, a result that aligned closely with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of an 83 percent home win probability, which climbed to 100 percent by the final out. Miami scored in just two innings, plating two runs in the first and two more in the fifth to build an unassailable lead. Oakland finished with five hits but could not convert any of them into runs against a Marlins pitching staff that dominated throughout.

The game's most consequential stretch came in the fifth inning, where both offenses made their most significant marks on the win-probability chart. Jorge Soler's double off Hogan Harris in the bottom half was the single biggest play of the night, shifting win probability by plus 7.3 percent and extending the Marlins' cushion. Bryan De La Cruz followed with a single off Harris that added another 6.0 percent. On the other side, JJ Bleday reached via double off Edward Cabrera in the top of the fifth for a plus 7.1 percent swing, representing Oakland's best opportunity to get on the board, though it ultimately went unrealized. Seth Brown's first-inning strikeout against Cabrera had already set a deflating tone for the Athletics, costing them 7.1 percent in win probability from Oakland's vantage point.

Edward Cabrera was the standout performer of the evening, leading all players with a plus 12.6 percent WPA contribution on the mound. His ability to strand Oakland threats, including Jonah Bride's fifth-inning strikeout that swung win probability by minus 5.2 percent against the Athletics, proved decisive. Among position players, Jorge Soler led Miami batters at plus 6.1 percent WPA, while Jesús Sánchez contributed the game's best RE24 mark among hitters at plus 2.0, reflecting his situational impact in run-scoring contexts.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalMIA win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 83.1% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jorge Soler Double
Bot 5th · off Hogan Harris
+7.3%
JJ Bleday Double
Top 5th · off Edward Cabrera
+7.1%
Seth Brown Strikeout
Top 1st · off Edward Cabrera
+7.1%
Bryan De La Cruz Single
Bot 5th · off Hogan Harris
+6.0%
Jonah Bride Strikeout
Top 5th · off Edward Cabrera
-5.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Jorge Soler+6.1%+0.3 RE24
Jesús Sánchez+5.9%+2.0 RE24
JJ Bleday+5.6%+0.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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