MLB Recap · May 29, 2023

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

LAA6
Final
CWS4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA400000020680
CWS100110001481

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Chicago White Sox 6-4 at Guaranteed Rate Field on May 29, 2023, handing Chicago a loss despite the White Sox entering with a 41 percent chance of winning according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. The Angels seized control early, scoring four runs in the first inning, then absorbed a pair of Chicago solo shots before pulling away with a two-run eighth that sealed the outcome and left the White Sox with a zero percent win probability by game's end.

The decisive plays were spread across several innings, with Chicago briefly threatening to close the gap before Los Angeles locked things down. Andrew Vaughn's fourth-inning home run off Griffin Canning carried a win-probability swing of plus 9.4 percent, and Romy Gonzalez followed with a fifth-inning solo home run off the same pitcher worth plus 12.4 percent, the single biggest positive swing of the night. Mike Trout's single off Liam Hendriks in the top of the eighth contributed a 9.7 percent swing that effectively put the game beyond reach for the White Sox. Chicago's ninth-inning rally stalled when Jake Burger popped out against Carlos Estévez, a minus 9.5 percent swing, and Yasmani Grandal grounded out to end the threat.

On the individual ledger, Vaughn led all position players with a combined WPA of plus 19.8 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.4, making him the most impactful bat on either side despite finishing on the losing team. Gio Urshela added plus 7.3 percent WPA for Los Angeles, while Trout contributed plus 6.5 percent. On the mound, Griffin Canning paced all pitchers with a plus 15.1 percent WPA figure, a number that reflects his overall workload against a lineup that generated most of Chicago's damage directly against him. Gregory Santos added plus 10.4 percent and Ben Joyce contributed plus 9.7 percent in support of the Angels' bullpen effort.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalCWS win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 40.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Romy Gonzalez Home Run
Bot 5th · off Griffin Canning
+12.4%
Mike Trout Single
Top 8th · off Liam Hendriks
+9.7%
Jake Burger Pop Out
Bot 9th · off Carlos Estévez
-9.5%
Andrew Vaughn Home Run
Bot 4th · off Griffin Canning
+9.4%
Yasmani Grandal Groundout
Bot 9th · off Carlos Estévez
+8.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Andrew Vaughn+19.8%+1.4 RE24
Gio Urshela+7.3%-0.3 RE24
Mike Trout+6.5%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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