Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

Detroit defeated Chicago 7-3 on May 27, 2023, at Comerica Park, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Detroit win moving from 61 percent before the first pitch to 100 percent by the final out. The game remained scoreless through six innings until the seventh became the decisive frame for both clubs. Chicago appeared to seize momentum when Gavin Sheets doubled off Jason Foley in the top of the seventh, a swing that carried a +37.4 percent win-probability shift and briefly made it a genuine contest. Detroit answered immediately in the bottom half, however, stringing together three damaging blows off Joe Kelly: Zach McKinstry's home run added 18.1 percent to Detroit's win probability, Eric Haase's single added another 14.1 percent, and Spencer Torkelson's double contributed 10.5 percent more, collapsing any window Chicago had opened. Detroit also picked up an early run when Andy Ibáñez singled off Jesse Scholtens in the second inning, a play worth 7.8 percent in win probability at that stage.

Despite finishing as the top WPA batter on the losing side, Sheets ended at +31.7 percent WPA and +2.1 RE24, his double in the seventh representing the White Sox's lone significant moment of leverage. McKinstry was the most impactful Tiger at the plate, finishing at +17.2 percent WPA and +1.3 RE24 on the strength of his go-ahead home run. On the mound, Michael Lorenzen was the game's single most valuable pitcher by WPA, posting +24.9 percent, while Chasen Shreve added +8.1 percent and Gregory Santos contributed +6.0 percent as Detroit's staff held Chicago to four hits and three runs across the nine innings.