Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins handed the Los Angeles Angels a convincing 6-2 defeat at Angel Stadium on May 26, 2023, collecting 16 hits while committing zero errors in a performance that erased the DiamondIQ model's pre-game 58% home win probability entirely. Miami built its advantage gradually, scoring in the second and third innings before the Angels briefly cut into the deficit with a run in the fifth and sixth, but a decisive seventh-inning surge put the game firmly out of reach.

The single most consequential moment came in the top of the seventh, when Bryan De La Cruz drove a home run off Jacob Webb that shifted win probability by 22.0 percentage points in Miami's favor. That blow capped the largest swing of the night and was the defining play in De La Cruz finishing as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-25.2 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.5. Jorge Soler had set an earlier tone in the third with a home run off Reid Detmers, a plus-9.8 percentage-point swing that kept Miami's lead building. On the Angels' side, Brandon Drury's sixth-inning home run off Bryan Hoeing was Los Angeles's best moment, generating a plus-13.7 percentage-point shift, while Mike Trout's fifth-inning single off Jesús Luzardo represented a plus-11.2 percentage-point swing and led all Angels batters with a plus-14.0 WPA on the night.

Jesús Luzardo was the story on the mound, leading all pitchers with a plus-17.2 percent WPA contribution. He induced a key second-inning strikeout of Zach Neto that swung probability 10.5 points against the Angels and consistently neutralized Los Angeles's lineup before the bullpen tandem of Tanner Scott and Andrew Nardi closed things out with plus-6.3 and plus-5.2 WPA marks respectively. Jean Segura also contributed meaningfully at the plate, finishing with plus-10.4 WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.7 as Miami's balanced attack overwhelmed a home team that never found consistent footing.