MLB Recap · May 24, 2023

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

BAL9
Final
NYY6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BAL0001008009100
NYY002030100662

The Story

The Baltimore Orioles handed the New York Yankees a 9-6 defeat at Yankee Stadium on May 24, 2023, in a game that remained competitive into the late innings before a stunning seventh-inning collapse sealed New York's fate. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Yankees a 47% chance of winning at home, but that figure collapsed to 0% by the final out, a trajectory shaped almost entirely by a chaotic seventh inning in which Baltimore plated eight runs against a Yankees bullpen that could not contain the damage.

The Yankees had built a modest lead through the middle innings, with Gleyber Torres connecting on a home run off Tyler Wells in the third — the single biggest pro-Yankees swing of the night at plus 27.3% win probability — and Isiah Kiner-Falefa adding another solo shot off Wells in the fifth, worth plus 20.7% win probability, to push New York's advantage to 6-1 heading into the seventh. That lead evaporated quickly. Adam Frazier led off the top of the seventh with a home run off Nestor Cortes, a swing worth plus 24.5% win probability that signaled the inning's tone, and when Jimmy Cordero entered, Gunnar Henderson followed with a double worth plus 21.4% win probability to continue the onslaught. Adley Rutschman's walk off Cordero, adding another 11.2%, kept the line moving as Baltimore sent eight runs across in the frame.

On the pitching side, Danny Coulombe was the DiamondIQ model's standout performer, posting plus 16.1% win probability in relief as Baltimore's bullpen held New York scoreless over the final three innings. Torres finished as the top individual batter by win probability at plus 27.3% despite being on the losing side, while Henderson's plus 21.1% and Kiner-Falefa's plus 20.7% reflected how evenly the game's narrative was split before the seventh inning rewrote everything. Baltimore's errorless defense against New York's two errors further underscored the Orioles' composure in a road environment.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BAL bats firstFinalNYY win %BAL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 47.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Adam Frazier Home Run
Top 7th · off Nestor Cortes
+24.5%
Gunnar Henderson Double
Top 7th · off Jimmy Cordero
+21.4%
Gleyber Torres Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Tyler Wells
+18.3%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa Home Run
Bot 5th · off Tyler Wells
+15.3%
Top 7th · off Jimmy Cordero
+11.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Gleyber Torres+27.3%+2.7 RE24
Gunnar Henderson+21.1%+1.3 RE24
Isiah Kiner-Falefa+20.7%+2.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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