Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins handed the Colorado Rockies a decisive 10-2 defeat at Coors Field on May 24, 2023, rolling up 14 hits while committing no errors. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Colorado a 46 percent chance of winning at home, but by the final out that estimate had fallen to zero, reflecting how completely Miami controlled the contest from the middle innings onward.
Colorado starter Karl Kauffmann bore the brunt of the damage, appearing in each of the five biggest win-probability swings of the night. The most consequential came in the top of the fifth, when Luis Arraez doubled to shift win probability by plus-13.6 points in Miami's favor, extending a lead that had already taken shape an inning earlier. In the fourth, Joey Wendle's groundout had added 10.7 points of win probability — an unusual case where an out moved the needle so sharply because of the run-environment context — and Yuli Gurriel followed with a single worth plus-7.4 points. Wendle had also been involved in the game's biggest negative swing, a grounded-into-double-play in the second that cost Miami 9.5 points of win probability off Kauffmann, briefly keeping the game within reach for Colorado before the Marlins broke it open.
On the individual leaderboard, Gurriel led all batters with a plus-13.2 WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.1, making him the most impactful offensive contributor of the night by the DiamondIQ model's estimate. Jorge Soler added plus-7.5 WPA and Arraez plus-7.4 WPA. On the mound, Sandy Alcantara paced all pitchers with a plus-9.3 WPA, anchoring a staff that held Colorado to four hits and two runs across nine innings.