MLB Recap · May 24, 2023

Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

OAK1
Final
SEA6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK000000100170
SEA00050010-6110

The Story

The Seattle Mariners handled the Oakland Athletics with relative ease on May 24, 2023 at T-Mobile Park, rolling to a 6-1 victory that pushed the DiamondIQ model's win probability from an 83 percent pre-game estimate to a final certainty of 100 percent. The game remained scoreless through three innings before Seattle broke it open decisively in the bottom of the fourth, sending five runs across the plate in a single frame that effectively ended any competitive uncertainty.

The pivotal sequence came in that fourth inning against Athletics starter Ken Waldichuk. Sam Haggerty delivered the biggest single play of the game, a double that swung win probability by plus 16.2 percent in Seattle's favor, and J.P. Crawford added to the damage with a single worth plus 7.3 percent. The model leans on those two plays as the clearest turning point of the contest. Earlier in the game, Crawford had been the negative bookend in a strikeout during the second inning that represented the largest swing against Seattle at minus 12.6 percent, while Jarred Kelenic's flyout in the first registered a minus 9.1 percent swing off Austin Pruitt.

Among the individual performers, Haggerty and Cal Raleigh paced Seattle's offense by WPA at plus 10.9 and plus 10.4 percent respectively, with Raleigh also posting the game's best RE24 figure at plus 1.7. AJ Pollock contributed plus 9.4 percent WPA on the offensive side. On the mound, Austin Pruitt led all pitchers with a plus 9.4 percent WPA contribution, and Bryce Miller added plus 3.5 percent in support of a Seattle staff that limited Oakland to a single run on seven hits with no errors committed by either club.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalSEA win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 83.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Sam Haggerty Double
Bot 4th · off Ken Waldichuk
+16.2%
J.P. Crawford Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Ken Waldichuk
-12.6%
Jarred Kelenic Flyout
Bot 1st · off Austin Pruitt
-9.1%
J.P. Crawford Single
Bot 4th · off Ken Waldichuk
+7.3%
Seth Brown Strikeout
Top 1st · off Bryce Miller
+7.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Sam Haggerty+10.9%+1.1 RE24
Cal Raleigh+10.4%+1.7 RE24
AJ Pollock+9.4%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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