MLB Recap · April 8, 2023

Texas Rangers at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

TEX3
Final
CHC10

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TEX001000101375
CHC10110214-10140

The Story

The Chicago Cubs handed the Texas Rangers a lopsided 10-3 defeat at Wrigley Field on April 8, 2023, with five Texas errors opening the door for a Cubs offense that collected 14 hits and never truly relinquished control. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 54 percent pre-game home win probability for Chicago, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent, reflecting just how thoroughly the Cubs dominated the afternoon.

The decisive swings came early and built steadily against Rangers starter Martín Pérez. In the bottom of the third, Dansby Swanson delivered a single that moved Chicago's win probability up 8.8 percent, and Nick Madrigal followed with a double worth another 6.4 percent, framing a pivotal inning for the Cubs. Patrick Wisdom then delivered the signature blow of the contest in the bottom of the fourth, a home run off Pérez that added 10.0 percent to Chicago's win probability and represented the single largest swing of the game. Texas briefly applied pressure in the top of the third when Corey Seager doubled off Justin Steele for a 6.5 percent swing in the Rangers' direction, but Steele steadied himself and went on to finish as the game's top pitching performer by WPA at plus-18.3 percent. Eric Hosmer contributed a key single off Brock Burke in the sixth inning worth 8.5 percent, and Chicago added a four-run eighth to close out the margin convincingly.

By individual contribution, Wisdom led Chicago's position players with a WPA of plus-9.0 percent and an RE24 of plus-0.7, while Swanson and Hosmer each posted an RE24 of plus-1.3 alongside WPA figures of plus-8.6 and plus-8.5 percent respectively. Steele's commanding effort on the mound anchored the performance, and the combination of Texas's five errors and Chicago's 14-hit output made this one of the more complete wins the DiamondIQ model tracked on the day.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TEX bats firstFinalCHC win %TEX win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Patrick Wisdom Home Run
Bot 4th · off Martín Pérez
+10.0%
Dansby Swanson Single
Bot 3rd · off Martín Pérez
+8.8%
Eric Hosmer Single
Bot 6th · off Brock Burke
+8.5%
Corey Seager Double
Top 3rd · off Justin Steele
+6.5%
Nick Madrigal Double
Bot 3rd · off Martín Pérez
+6.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Patrick Wisdom+9.0%+0.7 RE24
Dansby Swanson+8.6%+1.3 RE24
Eric Hosmer+8.5%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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