Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 4-2 at Yankee Stadium on April 5, 2023, in a game that was relatively contained through six innings before a pivotal seventh inning swung the outcome decisively in New York's favor. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Yankees a 54 percent home win probability, and by the final out that estimate had reached 100 percent.

The game's most consequential sequence unfolded in the seventh inning, pulling in both directions before the Yankees seized control. Alec Bohm's hit by pitch off Jonathan Loáisiga represented the biggest single boost to Philadelphia's chances on the night, adding 13.7 percent in win probability and keeping a Phillies rally alive. However, Josh Harrison's forceout off the same pitcher moments later erased 7.7 percent of that equity and stalled the threat. New York then responded emphatically in the bottom half, with Jose Trevino delivering a home run off Gregory Soto that added 18.9 percent win probability and effectively put the game beyond Philadelphia's reach. The Yankees had already built an early foothold in the first inning and added another run in the sixth, when Gleyber Torres singled off Aaron Nola to generate a swing of 10.9 percent. Kyle Schwarber's solo home run off Loáisiga in the eighth accounted for one of Philadelphia's two runs but arrived too late to matter.

Torres led all batters by WPA at plus 12.9 percent with a RE24 of plus 2.2, while Trevino finished at plus 10.7 percent and Bohm contributed plus 10.5 percent despite being on the losing side. On the mound, Gerrit Cole was the game's dominant figure, posting a WPA of plus 29.7 percent, with Clay Holmes adding plus 6.3 percent in relief. Nola finished at plus 2.0 percent WPA despite absorbing the loss, indicating his individual contributions held some value even as the Yankees' offense ultimately proved the difference.