Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers opened their home slate with a commanding 10-1 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 1, 2023, at Dodger Stadium. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with a 54 percent home win probability for Los Angeles, a figure that climbed steadily and closed at 100 percent by the final out. The Dodgers did the bulk of their damage early, scoring five runs in the first inning and adding three more in the fifth to put the game firmly out of reach, while Arizona managed just a single run in the second on five hits across nine innings.

The pivotal moments of the contest were concentrated in the early frames and measured sharply by win probability. Clayton Kershaw proved untouchable, and the single most consequential play of the game came in the top of the second when Nick Ahmed struck out against Kershaw, swinging the win probability 8.7 percent in Arizona's disfavor. On the other side, Madison Bumgarner struggled to strand runners, with Austin Barnes recording a pop out in the bottom of the first that actually swung 8.7 percent back toward the Dodgers, and Max Muncy adding a groundout in the second worth 7.3 percent. Gabriel Moreno's grounded into double play in the top of the fifth, off Kershaw and worth minus 6.2 percent, effectively ended any remaining Arizona threat. Trayce Thompson then put the final nail in with a home run off Kevin Ginkel in the fifth, a swing worth 6.3 percent in win probability.

Kershaw was the clear standout, finishing with a DiamondIQ model WPA of plus 18.4 percent, far outpacing every other performer on either side. Offensively, Thompson led all batters with a WPA of plus 11.3 percent and a RE24 of plus 6.7, while Barnes contributed plus 8.1 percent WPA and Muncy added plus 6.9 percent. Andre Jackson and Carlos Vargas each finished at 0.0 percent WPA in relief, making no material impact on the outcome in either direction.