MLB Recap · September 28, 2021

Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros: Final Score & Recap

TB3
Final
HOU4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TB200000001370
HOU000001012460

The Story

AI recap unavailable for archived games. The final score, win-probability story, biggest plays, and top performers are all shown below.

Win Probability

755025TB bats firstFinalHOU win %TB win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 50.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Randy Arozarena Home Run
Top 9th · off Phil Maton
+38.4%
Bot 9th · off JT Chargois
+31.1%
Jose Altuve Home Run
Bot 8th · off David Robertson
+23.6%
Jason Castro Walk
Bot 9th · off JT Chargois
+15.9%
Alex Bregman Home Run
Bot 6th · off Andrew Kittredge
+13.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Randy Arozarena+39.2%+0.5 RE24
Jose Altuve+19.0%+0.5 RE24
Chas McCormick+18.2%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →