MLB Preview · September 25, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox: Prediction, Odds & Preview
CHC 57-45at BOS 52-49·Fenway Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
CHC49.7%50.3%BOS
The model leans BOS (50.3%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️70°FClear
Wind 7 mph E · in from CF
Precip 0%
Injured List
CHC
Matt Shaw (RF)Injured 10-Day
Ben Brown (P)Injured 15-Day
Daniel Palencia (P)Injured 15-Day
Edward Cabrera (P)Injured 15-Day
Ethan Roberts (P)Injured 15-Day
Hoby Milner (P)Injured 15-Day
BOS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (2B)Injured 10-Day
Marcelo Mayer (2B)Injured 10-Day
Connelly Early (P)Injured 15-Day
Ranger Suarez (P)Injured 15-Day
Garrett Crochet (P)Injured 60-Day
Johan Oviedo (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.