MLB Preview · May 23, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees: Prediction, Odds & Preview
TB 59-42at NYY 57-45·Yankee Stadium·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
TB48.9%51.1%NYY
The model leans NYY (51.1%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
TB
ERA
3.28
WHIP
0.98
K%
24.8
BB%
4.3
K/9
8.88
IP
104.1
Arsenal
Cutter 31% · 90mphFour-Seam 27% · 96mphSinker 22% · 96mphChangeup 12% · 90mphCurveball 5% · 80mph
NYY
ERA
4.40
WHIP
1.27
K%
26.6
BB%
6.7
K/9
10.11
IP
102.1
Arsenal
Four-Seam 26% · 96mphChangeup 24% · 86mphSweeper 20% · 81mphSinker 18% · 94mphSlider 12% · 87mph
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️83°FClear
Wind 6 mph SSE · R→L
Precip 1%
Injured List
TB
Jake Fraley (RF)Injured 10-Day
Jesse Scholtens (P)Injured 15-Day
Steven Matz (P)Injured 15-Day
Edwin Uceta (P)Injured 60-Day
Gavin Lux (LF)Injured 60-Day
Jonathan Heasley (P)Injured 60-Day
NYY
Giancarlo Stanton (DH)Injured 10-Day
Carlos Rodón (P)Injured 15-Day
Aaron Judge (RF)Injured 60-Day
Clarke Schmidt (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.