MLB Preview · May 23, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees: Prediction, Odds & Preview
TB 85-58at NYY 81-62·Yankee Stadium·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
TB49.2%50.8%NYY
The model leans NYY (50.8%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
TB
ERA
2.88
WHIP
0.91
K%
26.1
BB%
4.5
K/9
9.16
IP
153.1
Arsenal
Cutter 29% · 90mphFour-Seam 29% · 96mphSinker 23% · 95mphChangeup 13% · 90mphCurveball 4% · 80mph
NYY
ERA
3.60
WHIP
1.22
K%
25.2
BB%
6.7
K/9
9.37
IP
137.1
Arsenal
Changeup 25% · 86mphFour-Seam 22% · 96mphSinker 21% · 94mphSweeper 20% · 81mphSlider 12% · 87mph
Forecast at First Pitch
☁️86°FOvercast
Wind 11 mph WSW · out to CF
Precip 1%
Injured List
TB
Ben Williamson (2B)Injured 10-Day
Garrett Cleavinger (P)Injured 15-Day
Manuel Rodríguez (P)Injured 15-Day
Shane McClanahan (P)Injured 15-Day
Edwin Uceta (P)Injured 60-Day
Gavin Lux (LF)Injured 60-Day
NYY
Trent Grisham (CF)Injured 10-Day
Fernando Cruz (P)Injured 15-Day
Ryan Weathers (P)Injured 15-Day
Aaron Judge (RF)Injured 60-Day
Clarke Schmidt (P)Injured 60-Day
Giancarlo Stanton (DH)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.