MLB Preview · September 9, 2026
New York Mets at Miami Marlins: Prediction, Odds & Preview
NYM 65-78at MIA 72-72·loanDepot park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
NYM45.1%54.9%MIA
The model leans MIA (54.9%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
NYM
Probable pitcher TBD.
MIA
ERA
4.00
WHIP
1.28
K%
16.3
BB%
6.4
K/9
6.17
IP
108.0
Arsenal
Four-Seam 34% · 94mphSlider 21% · 86mphChangeup 18% · 87mphSweeper 14% · 80mphCurveball 9% · 81mph
Forecast at First Pitch
🌦️90°FDrizzle
Wind 8 mph E · in from CF
Precip 57%
Injured List
NYM
Cionel Pérez (P)Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams (P)Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco (DH)Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett (P)Injured 60-Day
Tylor Megill (P)Injured 60-Day
MIA
Xavier Edwards (2B)Injured 10-Day
Anthony Bender (P)Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer (P)Injured 15-Day
Pete Fairbanks (P)Injured 15-Day
Adam Mazur (P)Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.