MLB Preview · September 8, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox: Prediction, Odds & Preview

PIT 70-73at CWS 74-68·Rate Field·

DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability

PIT44.4%55.6%CWS

The model leans CWS (55.6%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.

Probable Pitchers

PIT
ERA
4.30
WHIP
1.37
K%
20.4
BB%
12.0
K/9
8.01
IP
136.0
Arsenal
Four-Seam 48% · 98mphSlider 21% · 91mphChangeup 15% · 92mphSinker 8% · 98mphSweeper 5% · 88mph
CWS
ERA
3.20
WHIP
1.14
K%
26.3
BB%
8.5
K/9
9.72
IP
154.2
Arsenal
Four-Seam 37% · 95mphCurveball 20% · 79mphSlider 17% · 87mphSinker 15% · 95mphCutter 10% · 90mph

Forecast at First Pitch

85°FPartly cloudy
Wind 11 mph SSW · R→L
Precip 0%

Injured List

PIT
Ryan O'Hearn (RF)Injured 10-Day
Kirby Yates (P)Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez (C)Injured 60-Day
Mitch Keller (P)Injured 60-Day
CWS
Joey Bart (C)Injured 10-Day
Tommy Pham (LF)Injured 10-Day
Chris Murphy (P)Injured 15-Day
Huascar Brazobán (P)Injured 15-Day
Brooks Baldwin (LF)Injured 60-Day
Drew Thorpe (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.
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