MLB Preview · September 8, 2026
New York Mets at Miami Marlins: Prediction, Odds & Preview
NYM 64-78at MIA 71-72·loanDepot park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
NYM44.8%55.2%MIA
The model leans MIA (55.2%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
NYM
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.36
K%
21.7
BB%
7.3
K/9
8.56
IP
128.1
Arsenal
Four-Seam 38% · 91mphSweeper 30% · 76mphSinker 20% · 90mphCutter 8% · 85mphChangeup 4% · 84mph
MIA
ERA
3.54
WHIP
1.19
K%
17.6
BB%
6.3
K/9
6.53
IP
195.2
Arsenal
Sinker 27% · 97mphChangeup 21% · 91mphFour-Seam 18% · 98mphCutter 15% · 90mphSweeper 9% · 84mph
Forecast at First Pitch
🌦️90°FDrizzle
Wind 8 mph E · in from CF
Precip 57%
Injured List
NYM
Cionel Pérez (P)Injured 15-Day
Devin Williams (P)Injured 15-Day
Jorge Polanco (DH)Injured 60-Day
Reed Garrett (P)Injured 60-Day
Tylor Megill (P)Injured 60-Day
MIA
Xavier Edwards (2B)Injured 10-Day
Anthony Bender (P)Injured 15-Day
Max Meyer (P)Injured 15-Day
Pete Fairbanks (P)Injured 15-Day
Adam Mazur (P)Injured 60-Day
Andrew Nardi (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.