MLB Preview · September 6, 2026
Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox: Prediction, Odds & Preview
MIN 68-74at CWS 74-68·Rate Field·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
MIN44.1%55.9%CWS
The model leans CWS (55.9%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
MIN
ERA
4.37
WHIP
1.24
K%
16.6
BB%
6.5
K/9
6.27
IP
113.1
Arsenal
Changeup 34% · 83mphFour-Seam 32% · 88mphSlider 17% · 82mphSweeper 12% · 76mphSinker 3% · 89mph
CWS
ERA
3.03
WHIP
1.21
K%
22.2
BB%
6.9
K/9
8.34
IP
59.1
Arsenal
Four-Seam 67% · 92mphSweeper 27% · 80mphSinker 5% · 90mphCutter 1% · 84mph
Forecast at First Pitch
⛅74°FPartly cloudy
Wind 12 mph NE · L→R
Precip 0%
Model vs Market
MoneylineMIN +125 · CWS -146
Total8.5
Market implied (CWS)57.2%
Model − market (CWS)-1.3 pts
Consensus across 9 books · for information only, not betting advice.
Injured List
MIN
Austin Martin (RF)Injured 10-Day
Byron Buxton (CF)Injured 10-Day
Joe Ryan (P)Injured 15-Day
Anthony Banda (P)Injured 60-Day
Cole Sands (P)Injured 60-Day
David Festa (P)Injured 60-Day
CWS
Joey Bart (C)Injured 10-Day
Tommy Pham (LF)Injured 10-Day
Chris Murphy (P)Injured 15-Day
Huascar Brazobán (P)Injured 15-Day
Brooks Baldwin (LF)Injured 60-Day
Drew Thorpe (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.