MLB Preview · September 6, 2026
Los Angeles Angels at Pittsburgh Pirates: Prediction, Odds & Preview
LAA 54-88at PIT 70-73·PNC Park·
DiamondIQ Model — Win Probability
LAA40.8%59.2%PIT
The model leans PIT (59.2%). DiamondIQ model v2: season records, home-field advantage, the starting-pitcher quality gap (PitchIQ), and a calibration adjustment fit and validated on four seasons of backtest — plus live game state once underway.
Probable Pitchers
LAA
ERA
2.85
WHIP
1.26
K%
22.9
BB%
12.2
K/9
8.76
IP
123.1
Arsenal
Changeup 33% · 91mphSinker 31% · 98mphFour-Seam 21% · 98mphSweeper 15% · 87mph
PIT
ERA
3.97
WHIP
1.16
K%
28.9
BB%
7.1
K/9
10.76
IP
149.2
Arsenal
Four-Seam 41% · 97mphSweeper 16% · 84mphChangeup 13% · 89mphSinker 12% · 97mphSplitter 11% · 93mph
Pitch-Type Matchup — Opposing Lineups vs the Starters
| Pitch | Usage | LAA wOBA | LAA Whiff | PIT wOBA | PIT Whiff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-Seam | 62% | .340 | 23% | .377 | 26% |
| Changeup | 57% | .273 | 33% | .276 | 35% |
| Sinker | 43% | .347 | 17% | .389 | 18% |
| Sweeper | 30% | .366 | 36% | .277 | 32% |
| Slider | 8% | .261 | 39% | .320 | 37% |
| Curveball | 0% | .249 | 37% | .364 | 36% |
Season Statcast: how each lineup has fared against these pitch types.
Forecast at First Pitch
☀️75°FClear
Wind 9 mph NE · L→R
Precip 0%
Model vs Market
MoneylineLAA +150 · PIT -180
Total7
Market implied (PIT)61.6%
Model − market (PIT)-2.5 pts
Consensus across 9 books · for information only, not betting advice.
Injured List
LAA
Gustavo Campero (OF)Injured 10-Day
Nolan Schanuel (1B)Injured 10-Day
George Klassen (P)Injured 15-Day
Sam Bachman (P)Injured 15-Day
Anthony Rendon (3B)Injured 60-Day
Jack Kochanowicz (P)Injured 60-Day
PIT
Ryan O'Hearn (RF)Injured 10-Day
Kirby Yates (P)Injured 15-Day
Endy Rodríguez (C)Injured 60-Day
Mitch Keller (P)Injured 60-Day
Follow it live in the Game Center
Live win probability, pitch-by-pitch, and the model updating in real time.