Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox defeated the visiting Colorado Rockies 4-2 at Rate Field on September 27, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 69 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by game's end. The contest was effectively settled in a decisive bottom of the third inning, as Kyle Freeland surrendered back-to-back home runs that did the bulk of the damage. Randal Grichuk connected first, a blow that shifted win probability by 19.1 points in Chicago's favor, followed immediately by Brenton Doyle, whose home run added another 16.6 points in the same direction. Those two swings off Freeland accounted for the overwhelming majority of Chicago's offensive production and essentially removed any realistic path to a Rockies victory before the game reached the fourth inning.

Colorado managed only a pair of runs across nine innings, with Cole Carrigg providing the lone late-game highlight by connecting for a home run off Trevor Richards in the top of the eighth, a play worth 6.4 points of win probability. On the other side of the ledger, Hunter Goodman grounded into a double play in the top of the fifth against Anthony Kay, costing Colorado 5.2 points of win probability at a moment when the Rockies could not afford further damage. Grichuk finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-16.9, paired with a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Doyle closely followed at plus-14.0 WPA and plus-1.2 RE24. Among pitchers, Richards led the staff with a WPA of plus-12.4, supported by Mark Manfredi at plus-3.8 and Sean Newcomb at plus-2.7, as Chicago's bullpen held the line through the final six innings to close out the win.