Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| SF | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the San Francisco Giants 5-1 at Oracle Park on September 27, 2026, with four runs in the tenth inning turning a tense one-run game into a comfortable final margin. The DiamondIQ model had entered the night giving San Francisco a 33% chance of winning at home, and that probability eroded steadily before collapsing entirely by game's end.
The decisive sequence came in the top of the tenth, where Andy Pages delivered a home run off Duncan Davitt that swung win probability by 37.0 percentage points, the single largest swing of the game. Alex Call followed with a double off Davitt that added another 35.3 percentage points, effectively closing the door on any Giants comeback. Those two at-bats alone accounted for the bulk of the Dodgers' offensive explosion in the extra frame. The evening had not been without its anxious moments for Los Angeles — Pages had grounded into a double play in the eighth inning off Trent Harris, a swing of negative 14.0 percentage points that kept San Francisco's hopes alive. In the bottom of the ninth, Turner Hill lined out against Alex Vesia, a play worth 14.0 percentage points in the Dodgers' favor that preserved the tie heading to extras. Max Muncy's double off Sam Hentges in the fourth provided the lone regulation run for Los Angeles and was worth 9.6 percentage points of win probability.
On the mound, Bobby Miller led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-19.2 percentage points, with Camilo Doval and Braxton Roxby contributing plus-13.5 and plus-10.7 respectively as the bullpen secured the win. By the batting metrics, Call finished as the top position player by WPA at plus-29.2, while Pages led all hitters in RE24 at plus-2.1, reflecting how critical his extra-inning home run was in converting run-scoring opportunities. Muncy rounded out the top three contributors with a WPA of plus-12.8 and an RE24 of plus-1.1.