MLB Recap · September 26, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

LAD4
Final
SF3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD001200001490
SF001000110390

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers held off the San Francisco Giants 4-3 at Oracle Park on September 26, 2026, in a game that swung dramatically in both directions before the Dodgers ultimately secured the win. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving the Giants a 67% chance of winning at home, but that figure collapsed to zero by the final out, a reflection of how thoroughly Los Angeles seized control in the decisive moments.

The biggest single swing of the game came in the top of the ninth, when Enrique Hernández drove a home run off Trent Harris to give the Dodgers a 4-2 lead, a play the DiamondIQ model valued at plus-34.2% in win probability. That swing proved necessary insurance, because the Giants had been clawing back steadily. Drew Cavanaugh had delivered the most consequential Giants sequence, tripling off Brock Stewart in the bottom of the seventh for a plus-21.1% win-probability swing, part of a night that left him as the top batter by WPA at plus-31.3% with a RE24 of plus-1.5. Turner Hill extended the threat in the bottom of the eighth with a double off Evan Phillips worth plus-13.4% in win probability, keeping Oracle Park engaged heading into the ninth. Miguel Rojas had also done quiet damage for the Dodgers earlier, his single off Duncan Davitt in the fourth adding plus-11.2% and plating what proved to be meaningful insurance.

The final out fell to Tanner Scott, who struck out Christian Koss to end the bottom of the ninth, a strikeout the DiamondIQ model credited as a plus-21.4% swing for Los Angeles. On the mound, Matt Wilkinson, Kris Bubic, and Jason Foley each contributed positively for the Dodgers, posting WPA figures of plus-7.6%, plus-7.5%, and plus-7.4% respectively, forming the backbone of a bullpen effort that was just sturdy enough to protect a narrow lead through a tense final few innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalSF win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 33.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Enrique Hernández — Home Run
Top 9th · off Trent Harris
+34.2%
Christian Koss — Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Tanner Scott
+21.4%
Drew Cavanaugh — Triple
Bot 7th · off Brock Stewart
+21.1%
Turner Hill — Double
Bot 8th · off Evan Phillips
+13.4%
Miguel Rojas — Single
Top 4th · off Duncan Davitt
+11.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Drew Cavanaugh+31.3%+1.5 RE24
Enrique Hernández+23.2%-0.2 RE24
Christian Koss+11.4%-1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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