St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the St. Louis Cardinals 8-4 at American Family Field on September 25, 2026, in a game the DiamondIQ model's estimate gave Milwaukee a 68% chance of winning before first pitch and ultimately closed at 100% in favor of the home side. The Cardinals threatened to flip the script in the seventh inning, when Alec Burleson connected on a home run off Bryse Wilson that represented the single largest win-probability swing of the game at plus 22.7%, followed shortly by a Jordan Walker home run off the same pitcher adding another 9.6%. That three-run Cardinals seventh, combined with Iván Herrera's fourth-inning home run off Robert Gasser worth plus 11.4% in win probability, accounted for all four St. Louis runs and gave the game its only real drama. Milwaukee had built its early cushion methodically, including a Jackson Chourio walk off Brycen Mautz in the fifth that carried a 7.4% win-probability bump as the Brewers extended their threat.

Milwaukee answered the Cardinals' seventh-inning surge decisively with a four-run eighth, the key blow being a Brice Turang single off Justin Bruihl that swung win probability by plus 13.9% and effectively sealed the outcome. Burleson finished as the top batter by WPA on the Cardinals side at plus 20.9% with a 1.3 RE24, while Turang led all Brewers hitters at plus 20.2% WPA and a 2.6 RE24, reflecting how pivotal his eighth-inning contribution proved in cushioning the lead. Chourio also stood out at plus 13.2% WPA and a 1.4 RE24. On the mound, Abner Uribe led Milwaukee's pitching staff with a plus 10.6% WPA contribution, supported by Robert Gasser at plus 9.4%. The Cardinals committed two errors against a clean Milwaukee defense, and the Brewers' 12-hit output against six for St. Louis reflected the lopsided nature of the final ledger despite the Cardinals' fleeting seventh-inning push.