San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the San Francisco Giants 3-1 on September 20, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate largely anticipated with a 73% pre-game home win probability that climbed to 100% by the final out. The Giants managed just two hits against a Dodgers pitching staff that dominated from the start, while Los Angeles collected 11 hits and built its margin run by run across the middle and late innings.

The decisive sequence unfolded across the sixth through eighth innings, with Tommy Edman's home run off Carson Seymour in the bottom of the sixth representing the game's second-largest win-probability swing at plus 15.3%. Enrique Hernández followed with a double off Sam Hentges in the seventh, adding another plus 16.0% swing — the single biggest play of the game by win-probability added — and Max Muncy's single off Trent Harris in the eighth extended the Dodgers' cushion further with a plus 12.2% shift. The Giants had briefly threatened in the first inning before early outs stalled any momentum, with Josue De Paula's groundout off Matt Wilkinson in the second registering as the game's most damaging sequence for San Francisco at minus 10.9%.

On the pitching side, Matt Wilkinson was the game's dominant individual contributor, generating a plus 40.1% win-probability added, while Emmet Sheehan and Dylan Smith combined for plus 34.2% between them to neutralize the Giants across the later frames. Among batters, Muncy, Edman, and Enrique Hernández each finished between plus 9.3% and plus 10.3% WPA, with Hernández posting the strongest run-expectancy figure at plus 0.9 RE24, reflecting his ability to do damage with runners on base.