Milwaukee Brewers at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers shut out the Baltimore Orioles 1-0 on September 19, 2026, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with their lone run in the second inning proving to be all they needed. The DiamondIQ model had entered the game giving Baltimore a 40% chance of winning at home, but that probability collapsed to 0% by the final out. Milwaukee finished with three hits and committed no errors, while Baltimore managed four hits but could not push a run across against a Brewers pitching staff that controlled the game from start to finish.

The decisive moments unfolded primarily through Baltimore's inability to convert opportunities. The most damaging swing came in the bottom of the sixth, when Christian Encarnacion-Strand grounded into a double play off Robert Gasser, a play that shifted win probability by 22.5 percentage points against the Orioles. The eighth inning proved equally costly, as Coby Mayo struck out against Abner Uribe in a moment worth 18.7 percentage points, followed by Pete Alonso lining out for a shift of 8.6 points. The game was effectively sealed in the ninth when Rece Hinds struck out against Aaron Ashby, a play that moved win probability 31.6 points in Milwaukee's favor and closed the door entirely.

On the individual side, Hinds was the top batter by WPA at plus 38.4%, alongside a RE24 of plus 0.4, while Leody Taveras contributed plus 11.6% WPA and plus 0.5 RE24. Among pitchers, Robert Gasser led with plus 38.5% WPA, followed closely by Trevor Rogers at plus 37.8% and Abner Uribe at plus 23.3%, reflecting a collective effort that held one of baseball's lineups scoreless across nine innings.