Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

The San Diego Padres routed the Miami Marlins 8-2 at Petco Park on September 18, 2026, turning what was a scoreless game into a decisive victory behind a dominant fifth-inning outburst. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving San Diego a 60 percent chance of winning, and that figure climbed steadily to 100 percent by the final out.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the fifth, where the Padres sent multiple batters to the plate and did the bulk of their damage against Miami relievers Tyler Zuber and Cade Gibson. Ty France delivered the most impactful blow of the game, a home run off Zuber that shifted win probability by 17.5 percentage points and represented the single largest swing of the contest. Dustin Harris followed with a single worth 14.5 points of win probability, and Fernando Tatis Jr. added another single at plus-11.9 percent, extending the inning against the same pitcher. Xander Bogaerts then doubled off Gibson for an additional 8.1-point swing, capping a six-run frame that effectively ended any realistic Miami comeback. The only significant moment for the Marlins came in the top of the third, when Agustin Ramirez hit a home run off Nick Pivetta worth 10.7 points of win probability, but the Padres answered emphatically.

On the mound, Tyler Phillips was the standout performer, generating 18.4 points of win probability added to lead all pitchers. Nick Pivetta contributed plus-5.0, and Wandy Peralta added 2.8. Among position players, France led all batters with a WPA of plus-14.0 and an RE24 of plus-1.7, while Harris posted plus-12.3 WPA and Tatis Jr. finished at plus-10.0 WPA with a plus-1.1 RE24. Miami finished the game with 10 hits but committed one error, while San Diego went errorless across 12 hits and eight runs.