Milwaukee Brewers at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers edged the Baltimore Orioles 6-5 in ten innings on September 18, 2026, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, overcoming a deficit that extended into the final frame to secure the road victory. The DiamondIQ model's estimate gave Baltimore a 40 percent chance of winning before first pitch, a figure that collapsed to zero by the time the final out was recorded. Milwaukee scored three in the second inning and Baltimore answered with three of its own in the third, setting up a tense back half that remained scoreless through the eighth before unraveling dramatically in the ninth and tenth.
The ninth inning was the pivotal sequence of the game, producing the three highest win-probability swings of the night in rapid succession. William Contreras opened the inning with a double off Rico Garcia that shifted win probability 35.7 points in Milwaukee's favor, putting the Brewers in position to reclaim the lead. Trevor Megill then entered for Baltimore and immediately found himself in a volatile situation: Coby Mayo doubled to push Milwaukee ahead, a swing worth 21.4 points of win probability, before Samuel Basallo answered with a sacrifice fly that clawed 26.8 points back for the Orioles and tied the game. Christian Encarnacion-Strand then delivered a sacrifice fly of his own off Megill that swung the balance another 42.6 points toward Baltimore, giving the Orioles a 5-4 edge heading to the tenth.
Milwaukee manufactured the decisive run in the top of the tenth before Chad Patrick stranded Dylan Beavers on a flyout to end Baltimore's final threat, a play that locked in 31.6 points of win probability for the Brewers. Coby Mayo finished as the game's most impactful position player, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-41.9 and a RE24 of plus-2.5 across his contributions. On the pitching side, Shane Drohan led all arms with a WPA of plus-20.9, followed by DL Hall at plus-15.3 and Abner Uribe at plus-10.9, with the trio collectively steadying Milwaukee's grip through the middle innings.