MLB Recap · September 17, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

MIL4
Final
PIT7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL010001020491
PIT05000002-771

The Story

The Pittsburgh Pirates defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 7-4 at PNC Park on September 17, 2026, in a game that was largely decided by a five-run second inning and a pair of home runs in the eighth. Pittsburgh entered with a 41 percent pre-game win probability according to the DiamondIQ model, but that figure climbed to 100 percent by the final out as the Pirates controlled the contest from an early juncture.

The decisive moment came in the bottom of the second, when Pittsburgh erupted for five runs against Kyle Harrison. Konnor Griffin delivered a double that swung win probability 12.3 percent in Pittsburgh's favor, and Oneil Cruz followed with a single worth an additional 12.0 percent, building the cushion that would ultimately prove insurmountable. Milwaukee attempted a rally in the eighth inning, with Bo Naylor connecting on a home run off Luke Weaver that added 12.7 percent to the Brewers' win probability, briefly tightening the game. However, Henry Davis answered emphatically in the bottom half with a home run off Aaron Ashby, a swing worth 18.0 percent in Pittsburgh's favor that effectively ended Milwaukee's chances. Luis Lara's strikeout against Mason Montgomery in the top of the eighth cost the Brewers 9.8 percent win probability and further stalled the comeback attempt.

Individually, Davis was the game's most impactful performer, finishing with a WPA of plus-21.1 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.1. Naylor led Milwaukee's contributors with a WPA of plus-14.6 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.2, while Cruz added plus-11.2 percent WPA and plus-1.2 RE24 for Pittsburgh. On the mound, Khristian Curtis led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-10.2 percent, followed by Mason Montgomery at plus-7.5 percent and Camilo Doval at plus-5.0 percent. Pittsburgh finished with seven runs on seven hits, while Milwaukee managed nine hits but was held to four runs and committed one error in the loss.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalPIT win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 41.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Henry Davis — Home Run
Bot 8th · off Aaron Ashby
+18.0%
Bo Naylor — Home Run
Top 8th · off Luke Weaver
+12.7%
Konnor Griffin — Double
Bot 2nd · off Kyle Harrison
+12.3%
Oneil Cruz — Single
Bot 2nd · off Kyle Harrison
+12.0%
Luis Lara — Strikeout
Top 8th · off Mason Montgomery
-9.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Henry Davis+21.1%+2.1 RE24
Bo Naylor+14.6%+1.2 RE24
Oneil Cruz+11.2%+1.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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