New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins: Final Score & Recap

The Minnesota Twins defeated the New York Yankees 5-4 in 13 innings on September 16, 2026, at Target Field, completing a grinding extra-innings comeback after the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate had pegged the home side at just a 43 percent chance of winning. That figure climbed to 100 percent by the final out, a journey that wound through four scoreless extra frames and a series of high-leverage swings that repeatedly changed hands before Minnesota finally walked it off in the 13th.

The decisive sequence began taking shape in the bottom of the 10th, when Luke Keaschall singled off David Bednar to swing win probability by 51.6 percent in Minnesota's favor, the single largest positive swing of the game by WPA. Bednar allowed another critical blow in the 11th, this time a Kody Clemens single that added 45.5 percent to the Twins' win probability. The Yankees had kept themselves alive largely on the strength of Anthony Volpe, whose double in the top of the ninth off Yoendrys Gómez generated a 36.6 percent positive WPA swing and led the comeback from a two-run deficit. New York's hopes in the 12th evaporated when Heliot Ramos grounded into a double play off Travis Adams, a sequence that cost the Yankees 32.9 percent in win probability. Victor Caratini ended it in the 13th with a walk-off single off John Schreiber worth 35.9 percent in WPA.

Volpe led all batters with a plus-61.7 percent WPA and plus-1.7 RE24 in a losing effort, a performance that underscored how close the Yankees came. Keaschall finished at plus-55.2 percent WPA and Clemens at plus-51.8 percent WPA with a matching plus-1.7 RE24, each proving central to Minnesota's late-game resilience. On the mound, Zebby Matthews led all pitchers at plus-35.1 percent WPA, with A.J. Minter adding plus-8.1 percent and Jeff Hoffman contributing plus-7.2 percent as the Twins' bullpen ultimately preserved the win across a long, taxing night.