Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox silenced Progressive Field on September 14, 2026, defeating the Cleveland Guardians 7-3 behind a decisive sixth-inning outburst that turned a scoreless game into a rout. The DiamondIQ model had opened with a 53 percent pre-game win probability favoring Cleveland, but by the final out that figure had collapsed to zero, a reflection of how completely Chicago seized control in a single frame.

The sixth inning was the contest's defining moment. Chase Meidroth's single off Tim Herrin was the single highest-leverage swing of the afternoon, shifting win probability by plus 13.6 percent in Chicago's favor. Kyle Teel followed with a double off Herrin worth an additional plus 8.3 percent, and a Tristan Peters walk against Gavin Williams added another plus 6.8 percent before Miguel Vargas capped the damage with a home run off Daniel Espino, contributing plus 7.3 percent on top of what was already a commanding sequence. Cleveland's best moment by win-probability impact came in the top of the fourth, when Gavin Williams struck out Braden Montgomery, a play that swung the needle plus 8.6 percent toward the home side, though it ultimately proved insufficient.

On the individual ledger, Andrew Benintendi led all position players with a plus 10.2 percent WPA and a plus 0.4 RE24, followed closely by Meidroth at plus 8.3 percent WPA and plus 0.5 RE24. Colson Montgomery added plus 6.9 percent WPA despite a slightly negative RE24. On the mound, Sean Burke was the game's most dominant presence, posting a plus 18.4 percent WPA, with Gavin Williams contributing plus 8.9 percent in a losing effort and Hagen Smith adding plus 4.6 percent out of the Chicago bullpen. Chicago finished with nine hits and two errors; Cleveland managed seven hits but could not recover from the sixth-inning collapse.