Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 1 |
| MIL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 13 | 14 | 0 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Cincinnati Reds 13-9 on September 12, 2026, at American Family Field, a game in which the DiamondIQ model's estimate opened at a 69 percent pre-game home win probability and closed at 100 percent. Milwaukee built its cushion early and withstood a late Cincinnati push, as the Reds plated four runs in the top of the eighth but never genuinely threatened the outcome by that stage.
The decisive sequence arrived in the fourth inning, when the lead changed hands through a pair of powerful swings. Juan Brito's home run off Shane Drohan in the top half represented the game's second-largest win-probability swing, adding 17.1 percent in Cincinnati's favor, and JJ Bleday followed with a double off Drohan that added another 10.2 percent, briefly making it a competitive moment. Milwaukee answered emphatically in the bottom half, as William Contreras launched a home run off Brady Singer that swung win probability 29.2 percent toward the Brewers — the single largest play of the game. Contreras finished as the top performer by both metrics, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-27.8 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.8. Brito ranked second among all players at plus-15.1 percent WPA and plus-2.6 RE24, while Elly De La Cruz contributed a double in the third inning worth 9.0 percent WPA and finished with plus-12.3 percent WPA overall.
On the pitching side, Chad Patrick led Milwaukee's staff with plus-6.0 percent WPA, while Abner Uribe and Emilio Pagan each added plus-0.7 percent. The two clubs combined for 28 hits, with each side recording 14, though Cincinnati's lone error stood as one of several small margins that compounded across a game Milwaukee controlled for most of its duration.