Seattle Mariners at Athletics: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
| ATH | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 1 |
The Story
The Athletics walked off the Mariners 6-5 in ten innings on September 11, 2026, at Sutter Health Park, with Donovan Walton delivering the decisive blow. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had opened the game with a 48 percent home win probability, and by the end of the tenth it had reached 100 percent. Walton's walk-off home run off Eduard Bazardo in the bottom of the tenth swung win probability by 80.0 percentage points, the single most impactful play of the game, and his final line registered a plus-74.5 percent WPA and plus-1.9 RE24, making him the clear standout performer on either side.
Seattle had spent much of the contest chasing the game. Lazaro Montes gave the Mariners a lift with a sixth-inning home run off Scott Blewett that added 21.8 percentage points of win probability, and Julio Rodriguez contributed a critical single off Chris Roycroft in the top of the tenth worth plus-28.5 percent, providing Seattle with what looked like a late foothold. Montes finished as the Mariners' most impactful offensive player at plus-34.1 percent WPA and plus-1.1 RE24, though a lineout in that same tenth inning also carried a notable plus-17.4 percent swing given the leverage of the situation. Lawrence Butler offset some of Seattle's momentum from the Mariners' side with a third-inning home run off George Kirby that added 16.4 percentage points to Oakland's win probability and left him at plus-24.1 percent WPA on the night.
On the mound, the Athletics' bullpen ultimately held the line. Seranthony Dominguez led all pitchers with a plus-22.2 percent WPA, followed by Jeffrey Springs at plus-15.2 percent and Elvis Alvarado at plus-13.5 percent. Seattle scratched out runs in the first, second, sixth, and tenth innings but could not sustain pressure, finishing with ten hits and an error against an Oakland club that collected fourteen hits of its own. The model leans toward Oakland having controlled the critical late-game leverage moments, even as Seattle's offense kept the game close deep into extras.