St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| SF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | 7 | 10 | 3 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants rallied past the St. Louis Cardinals 7-6 on September 9, 2026 at Oracle Park, overcoming a three-run Cardinals burst in the third inning to secure the win on the strength of a stunning six-run eighth. The DiamondIQ model opened with San Francisco holding a 47 percent pre-game home win probability, a figure that would crater before ultimately climbing to 100 percent as the Giants authored one of the more dramatic late-game reversals of the season.
St. Louis seized control early when Leo Bernal connected on a home run off Blade Tidwell in the top of the third, a swing worth a 23.1 percent win-probability shift that pushed the Cardinals into comfortable territory heading into the middle innings. They added single runs in the fifth and sixth to build a 6-1 advantage, and the game appeared well in hand through seven. But George Soriano could not hold the line in the bottom of the eighth, surrendering the entirety of a six-run Giants uprising. Jung Hoo Lee delivered the most consequential blow of the night, a double that swung win probability 37.4 percent in San Francisco's favor, and Shay Whitcomb followed with a double of his own worth another 23.3 percent. A Jonah Cox single added 12.5 percent to the Giants' ledger as Soriano absorbed the full weight of the collapse. Any Cardinals hope of responding evaporated in the ninth when Jordan Walker grounded into a double play off Trent Harris, a sequence that cost St. Louis 22.8 percent in win probability and effectively ended the game.
Lee finished as the night's most impactful offensive player, posting a combined WPA of plus-41.4 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.7. Bernal led Cardinals contributors with a WPA of plus-20.8 percent and RE24 of plus-1.1, while Whitcomb added plus-19.6 percent WPA for San Francisco. On the pitching side, Harris was the most valuable arm by WPA at plus-15.2 percent, closing out the Cardinals with the game-ending groundout, with Andre Pallante contributing plus-10.0 percent in his own right.