Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Cincinnati Reds 3-2 on September 8, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 67% pre-game home win probability all the way to 100% by the final out. Los Angeles scored in each of the first two innings before Cincinnati responded with a two-run third, and the Dodgers ultimately secured the margin that proved decisive with a run in the fifth. The game finished with the Reds holding a 2/5/0 line and the Dodgers posting 3/7/1.

The swing points that defined the outcome were spread across several innings but concentrated most sharply in the third and fifth. Elly De La Cruz delivered the largest single-play shift of the night, connecting on a home run off Tarik Skubal in the top of the third that added 18.8 percentage points of win probability for Cincinnati. That swing was ultimately absorbed and reversed when Teoscar Hernández singled off Nick Lodolo in the bottom of the fifth, adding 12.2 points back in the Dodgers' favor and restoring their cushion. The Reds mounted a final-inning threat in the ninth against Tanner Scott, highlighted by a Tyler Stephenson walk that added 10.6 percentage points, but Jose Trevino's groundout removed 10.9 points and Eugenio Suárez's strikeout to close the frame cost Cincinnati another 10.1 points, extinguishing the rally.

By WPA, Stephenson led all batters at plus-17.6% despite the team falling short, while De La Cruz posted plus-17.1% to go with a RE24 of plus-1.5. Hernández paced Dodgers hitters at plus-15.8% with the game's top RE24 mark of plus-1.6. On the mound, Skubal led all pitchers with plus-17.2% WPA for Los Angeles, followed by Scott at plus-15.2% and Julian Garcia at plus-9.5%.