New York Mets at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 2 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
The Story
The New York Mets defeated the Miami Marlins 7-5 at loanDepot park on September 8, 2026, completing a dominant performance that was largely decided in the early innings. New York struck quickly, plating two runs in the first inning and adding three more in the second to build a 5-0 advantage before Miami had found any answer. The Marlins mounted a four-run sixth inning to pull within striking distance at 6-4, but that rally represented the high-water mark of their comeback bid. The DiamondIQ model entered the game assigning Miami a 57% win probability as the home side, but by the final out that figure had collapsed to zero.
The decisive swings of the game were well-captured by win-probability movement. In the bottom of the second, Deyvison De Los Santos popped out against Sean Manaea in a moment that shifted the game's leverage by 12.4 percentage points in the Mets' favor, effectively snuffing out a potential Marlins rally before it could develop. In the bottom of the seventh, Jared Serna's double off Nate Lavender moved the needle 11.8 points toward Miami, representing the most threatening moment of the Marlins' late push, though Kyle Stowers then struck out against Lavender in a swing that gave back 10.5 points. Kodai Senga closed the door in the ninth, striking out Stowers to seal the win in a moment worth 14.4 percentage points to New York.
Among the individual standouts, Jared Serna led all position players with a WPA of plus-11.4 and an RE24 of plus-1.1, while Juan Soto posted the game's best RE24 mark at plus-2.8 to go with a WPA of plus-8.7, reflecting his consistent presence in high-leverage run-production situations. Jared Young contributed a WPA of plus-9.4 despite his flyout in the second being the fourth-largest individual play of the game, a testament to his overall impact across the lineup card. On the mound, Sean Manaea was the most valuable arm by WPA at plus-12.6, with Nate Lavender and Dedniel Núñez adding plus-6.3 and plus-5.2, respectively, as the Mets' pitching staff collectively held off what could have been a more serious Marlins threat.