MLB Recap · September 7, 2026

Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

CIN3
Final
LAD6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CIN100000110372
LAD00002301-630

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Cincinnati Reds 6-3 on September 7, 2026 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Dodgers victory moving from a pre-game 66 percent to a certainty by the final out. The game was scoreless through four innings before unraveling for Cincinnati in the fifth and sixth, when the Reds surrendered five unanswered runs and effectively ceded control of the contest. A field error in the bottom of the fifth, charged against the Reds and credited in the play-by-play to pitcher Brandon Williamson, was the single largest swing of the game, shifting win probability by 22.3 percent in Los Angeles's favor. Williamson remained on the mound into the sixth, where Teoscar Hernández delivered the night's most consequential hit, a home run that added another 20.4 percent to the Dodgers' win probability and pushed the lead to a margin Cincinnati never seriously threatened.

On the offensive side, Hernández finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 22.5 percent with a RE24 of plus 2.7, while Miguel Rojas accumulated plus 21.3 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 0.9, benefiting directly from the fifth-inning error sequence. Héctor Rodríguez contributed a modest plus 9.8 percent WPA. Cincinnati's best chances to claw back came in the sixth and eighth innings, when they scored single runs, but their bats were largely neutralized, with JJ Bleday's strikeout against Alex Vesia costing the Reds 11.5 percent in win probability and Elly De La Cruz's strikeout off Emmet Sheehan bleeding another 8.1 percent. On the mound, Chase Burns was the game's standout pitcher, posting plus 23.7 percent WPA, while Vesia added plus 11.5 percent in relief. The Reds' seven hits and two errors told the story of a team that generated chances but could not convert them against a Dodgers staff and defense that controlled the evening from the middle innings forward.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CIN bats firstFinalLAD win %CIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 66.1% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Miguel Rojas — Field Error
Bot 5th · off Brandon Williamson
+22.3%
Teoscar Hernández — Home Run
Bot 6th · off Brandon Williamson
+20.4%
JJ Bleday — Strikeout
Top 6th · off Alex Vesia
-11.5%
Hunter Feduccia — Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Chase Burns
-8.4%
Elly De La Cruz — Strikeout
Top 6th · off Emmet Sheehan
-8.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Teoscar Hernández+22.5%+2.7 RE24
Miguel Rojas+21.3%+0.9 RE24
Héctor Rodríguez+9.8%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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