St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| SF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants defeated the St. Louis Cardinals 5-4 in eleven innings at Oracle Park on September 7, 2026, completing a comeback that required extra frames to decide. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with a 46 percent home win probability before the first pitch and closed at 100 percent, reflecting just how decisively the late innings shifted in San Francisco's favor. The Giants trailed through much of the contest, surrendering single runs in the sixth, seventh, and ninth innings to St. Louis before eventually forcing and winning extras.
The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the tenth, when Bryce Eldridge delivered a single off Riley O'Brien that swung win probability by 49.3 points, the largest single play of the game. That hit proved to be the defining moment, and Eldridge finished as the night's most impactful offensive player with a cumulative WPA of plus 55.7 percent and a RE24 of plus 1.5. The Cardinals had their own critical moment in the top of the ninth, when Bryan Torres drew a walk off Dylan Smith that added 21.9 points of win probability for St. Louis, and Joshua Báez's flyout in the tenth cost the Cardinals 21.1 points of leverage. In the bottom of the eleventh, Drew Cavanaugh's sacrifice bunt off George Soriano pushed the winning run into position, adding 19.5 points, before Nathan Church's groundout off Jason Foley ended St. Louis's last gasp at minus 18.0 points.
On the mound, Logan Webb was San Francisco's most valuable arm by win probability, finishing plus 23.2 percent, while Reiver Sanmartin contributed an additional plus 12.0 percent. Justin Bruihl was the lone Giants reliever to finish in negative territory at minus 3.1 percent. Among Cardinals hitters, Thomas Saggese posted a WPA of plus 21.7 percent and Shay Whitcomb added plus 21.3 percent, though neither could offset the collective failure to protect their late leads in a game that ultimately belonged to Eldridge and San Francisco.