MLB Recap · September 6, 2026

New York Yankees at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

NYY3
Final
SD4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYY000000030371
SD30000010-461

The Story

The San Diego Padres held off the New York Yankees 4-3 at Petco Park on September 6, 2026, in a game that was largely controlled by San Diego until a late Yankees surge made things interesting. The Padres jumped out to a three-run lead in the first inning and largely protected that advantage through seven innings, with starter Michael King doing the heavy lifting on the mound. King finished as the game's most impactful pitcher by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, generating plus-30.0% in win probability added over his outing. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 50-50 pre-game split between the two clubs, reflecting the even matchup on paper, but by game's end the model had the Padres at 100%.

The Yankees mounted their most dangerous threat in the top of the eighth, when Amed Rosario laced a single off Adrian Morejon that represented the single largest win-probability swing of the night at plus-21.4%, cutting into the deficit and briefly putting genuine pressure on San Diego. But Jasson Dominguez's lineout in that same inning swung the needle back sharply at minus-11.6%, and New York ultimately pushed across three runs in the frame without completing the comeback. Earlier opportunities went unfulfilled as well, with Ryan McMahon's groundout in the second and Cody Bellinger's flyout in the fifth each representing significant missed chances, costing the Yankees minus-10.0% and minus-8.3% respectively by the DiamondIQ model's estimate.

Luis Campusano was the standout offensive contributor for San Diego, posting plus-11.7% in win probability added alongside a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Ty France also factored positively at plus-5.4%. On the mound, Mason Miller closed things out in the ninth, retiring the side including a strikeout of George Lombard Jr. that effectively sealed the game, with Miller contributing plus-15.2% to San Diego's win probability. Bradgley Rodriguez added plus-5.0% in relief. The Padres' pitching staff held together just enough to preserve what had been a comfortable lead for most of the afternoon.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYY bats firstFinalSD win %NYY win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 49.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Amed Rosario — Single
Top 8th · off Adrian Morejon
+21.4%
Jasson Domínguez — Lineout
Top 8th · off Adrian Morejon
-11.6%
Ryan McMahon — Groundout
Top 2nd · off Michael King
-10.0%
Cody Bellinger — Flyout
Top 5th · off Michael King
-8.3%
George Lombard Jr. — Strikeout
Top 9th · off Mason Miller
-7.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Amed Rosario+21.4%+1.6 RE24
Luis Campusano+11.7%+1.2 RE24
Ty France+5.4%-0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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