Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox defeated the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on September 6, 2026, with all three Boston runs scoring in the second inning and the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 47 percent home win probability ultimately collapsing to zero. Kyle Bradish absorbed the decisive blow in that second inning when Eli White connected for a home run, a swing that shifted win probability 12.9 percent in Boston's favor and set the tone for a game the Red Sox never relinquished. Baltimore finished with five hits and an error against Boston's four hits, but the Orioles' runs-on-board column never moved past that single first-inning run.

The game's most consequential sequence came in the fifth inning, where Payton Tolle navigated a moment of genuine danger. Rece Hinds led off with a double that swung win probability 7.9 percent toward Baltimore, putting the tying run in scoring position. Tolle responded by retiring Leody Taveras on a strikeout, a swing-and-miss that erased 13.1 percent of Baltimore's win probability and effectively buried the Orioles' most promising threat of the night. Aroldis Chapman closed matters in the ninth, with Christian Encarnacion-Strand's strikeout adding another 11.6 percent to Boston's ledger.

Individually, Tolle was the game's dominant force, finishing with a model-leading 28.9 percent WPA, holding Baltimore scoreless across his innings and neutralizing the heart of their lineup. Jovani Morán contributed 13.3 percent WPA in relief, aided by Dylan Beavers' strikeout in the eighth. Among position players, White led all batters at plus-10.5 percent WPA and plus-2.5 RE24, with Encarnacion-Strand at plus-7.3 percent and Mickey Gasper adding plus-5.9 percent and plus-0.5 RE24 in support.